Just thinking here(which may be dangerous) but, if the bullet starts out .001-.002 larger than groove diameter, as long as it's over groove diameter both at the mold parting line and all around, then when it come out the end of the barrel, it's going to be exactly as round as the barrel is, regardless of how round it is when it started.
Don't confuse us with logic.
I'm going to point something out, and then I am done with this tread, the OP is obviously someone new to casting bullets and loading said bullets, and in this case for an 1886 Winchester, not a match type cast bullet rifle, so as several of us have said, lube em, load them and see if they chamber and if so, shoot them, if they shoot like you want, then that is all that is needed.
WTH do people when working with people new to anything try to make it as complicated as possible when teaching a new person? I have a theory, but I doubt a lot will like it. Once you learn the basics of something and can make it work, then worry about advancing to make it better if need be, likely will actually be able to help and teach someone that way, 35 years ago had I had some of the people here trying to help me when I started reloading and casting bullets, I would have likely said the hell with it.
Keep it simple for the newbie and work with them as they want to advance, how damned hard is it to understand that principal? That is the mark of a good teacher, not somebody try to impress everyone with what they know.